Prospects for Soviet Military Interventionism Abroad during the 1990's
Abstract
The outlook for Soviet military intervention abroad this decade is analyzed in view of changing Soviet vital interests. Soviet vital interests are increasingly domestic; foreign vital interests have shrunk to those which will foster Soviet economic survival and ensure continued diplomatic influence in the world. A poor economy, recognition of new means to effect international change, the Soviet nationalities crises, force reductions, and legislative restrictions may make the use of military power less appealing to Soviet leaders in pursuit of foreign vital interests. This will likely cause the Soviet Union to break historic ties with client states, and show less willingness to defend them militarily. These fundamental changes in Soviet national security policy will likely remain even if President Mikhail Gorbachev is removed from office. The historic military rival of the United States will be less likely to risk any foreign confrontation during this decade, especially with the U.S.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Feb 11, 1991
- Accession Number
- ADA236529
Entities
People
- Charles L. Benson Jr
Organizations
- Naval War College