Estimates of Available Aptitude as a Consequence of Demographic Change

Abstract

The effects of demographic trends on aptitudes of service eligible youth were estimated for the years 1980 through 2010. Census estimates of subpopulation dynamics were used to project the number of available youth in the prime ages for military service. Aptitude was measured using the Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery (ASVAB). Two trends emerged. First, the absolute number of enlistment eligible youth decreases from 1980 to a nadir in 1995, and although it climbs slowly after 1995, it remains below the 1980 cohort size through 2010. Second, each of the measures of aptitude shows an average decline through 2010. Such changes have the potential to affect Air Force recruiting and training policy.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1991
Accession Number
ADA238296

Entities

People

  • James A. Earles
  • Malcolm J. Ree

Organizations

  • Armstrong Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Census
  • Classification
  • Demography
  • Department Of Defense
  • Ethnic Groups
  • Governments
  • Manpower
  • Minority Groups
  • Personnel Management
  • Recruiting
  • Training
  • United States
  • United States Government

Readers

  • Mathematics or Statistics
  • Naval Personnel Management
  • Psychometric Testing or Psychological Assessment.