March AFB Forecasting Rules of Thumb Evaluation.

Abstract

This report documents an evaluation of 23 different 'rules of thumb' used in weather forecasting at March AFB, CA. Surface and upper-air data were collected for selected cities in southern California and Nevada. Pressure differences, dew-point temperature, and 850-mb and 500-mb heights were calculated for the selected locations and used to predict ceiling and/or visibility, wind direction, or rain/drizzle events at March AFB. Predictor and predict and variables were identified. The procedure for determining the probability of the predict and, given the predictor, is described, and the accuracy and statistical significance of the results are tested statistically. Frequency distribution tables for each of the 23 rules-of-thumb are given in an appendix.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 1991
Accession Number
ADA240458

Entities

People

  • Brian M. Bjornson

Organizations

  • Air Force Technical Applications Center

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Atmospheric Sciences
  • Chi Square Test
  • Data Analysis
  • Dew Point
  • Information Science
  • Meteorology
  • New York
  • Sea Level
  • Stations
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistical Tests
  • Statistics
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Weather Forecasting
  • Wind Direction

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Climatology
  • Regression Analysis.