Three Short Papers on Sampling-Based Inference: 1. How Many Iterations in the Gibbs Sampler? 2. Model Determination. 3. Spatial Statistics

Abstract

This technical report consists of three short papers on Monte Carlo Markov chain inference. The first paper, How many iterations in the Gibbs sampler?, proposes an easily implemented method for determining the total number of iterations required to estimate probabilities and quantiles of the posterior distribution, and also the number of initial iterations that should be discarded to allow for burn-in. The second paper discusses model determination via predictive distributions. The paper advocates the standard Bayesian procedure that uses Bayes factors, and points out that this can be implemented quite easily using sampling-based methods. The third paper discusses issues in spatial statistics that use sampling-based methods. Several issues in the Bayesian image restoration approach are discussed: the modeling of spatial dependence, allowing for model uncertainty, the improper posterior distributions that arise in hierarchical Bayes modeling, and the modeling of local dependence between counts when it cannot be assumed that the observations are independent given the true rates.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1991
Accession Number
ADA241409

Entities

People

  • Adrian Raftery
  • Jeffrey D. Banfield
  • Steven Lewis

Organizations

  • University of Washington

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Computational Science
  • Computations
  • Data Science
  • Distribution Functions
  • Electronic Mail
  • Equations
  • Information Science
  • Markov Chains
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Statistical Algorithms
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistics
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Theorems

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Statistical inference.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference