Against Conditionalization

Abstract

In this paper we argue that the epistemic levies which Bayesians exact in return for bestowing the benison of rationality on human believers are extortionate. We propose to pose a systematic challenge to Bayesian principles, from Dutch Book to conditionalization to Reflection, focusing on the issue of conditionalization. We will show that conditionalization is by no means the only rational method of updating belief (if it is a rational method at all). And the reasons we will delineate in favor of this view will cast doubt on both Dutch Book argument and Reflection. We will show that an agent might and sometimes ought be counted rational even if does not conditionalize or Reflect or avow Dutch Book. These principle, we will demonstrate, discount too much which is rational as unworthy. We will cry Justice and proclaim that rationality need not come as dear as they insist. Artificial Intelligence, Data Fusion, Conditionalization.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 16, 1989
Accession Number
ADA250615

Entities

People

  • Fahiem Bacchus
  • Henry Kyburg Jr.
  • Mariam Thalos

Organizations

  • University of Rochester

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Autonomy

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Calculus
  • Calibration
  • Celestial Mechanics
  • Frequency
  • Intelligent Agents
  • Intervals
  • Language
  • Money
  • Numbers
  • Observation
  • Operating Systems
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Real Numbers
  • Reflection
  • Scientific Theories

Fields of Study

  • Philosophy

Readers

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Military History of the United States in the 20th Century.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference