Prototyping Defense Systems
Abstract
Prototyping helps to reduce technical risk in developing weapon systems. While it requires time and money upfront, it allows the government to delay major funding commitments. Thus, prototyping is receiving increased attention now because of lower budgets. Technical risk is a major cause of cost growth and schedule slip, and this paper investigates whether prototyping improves cost and schedule outcomes. The paper develops a framework for examining the level and purpose of prototypes. It examines cost growth and schedule slip for non-prototyped programs and prototypes of various levels and purposes. Results indicate that prototyping helps to make program costs, particularly development costs, more predictable. Prototyped programs take somewhat longer, but the differences may be due to technical complexity. Aircraft and tactical munitions have followed different prototyping strategies, with munitions' strategy being more successful. The analysis provides the basis for prototyping guidelines for use by DoD.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Dec 01, 1991
- Accession Number
- ADA252657
Entities
People
- Alec W. Salerno
- Bruce R. Harmon
- D. C. Gogerty
- J. R. Nelson
- Karen W. Tyson
Organizations
- Institute for Defense Analyses