Probability Forecasting: A Guide for Forecasters and Staff Weather Officers

Abstract

Describes recommended techniques for producing and evaluating probability forecasts. Includes a selected number of applications for optimal decision-making. Chapters 1-4 address specific needs of forecasters and supervisors who make and evaluate subjective probability forecasts. Chapters 5-7 address applications of probabilities in decision-making, primarily for staff weather officers and staffmets.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1991
Accession Number
ADA254216

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Air Force
  • Algorithms
  • Atmospheric Sciences
  • Cloud Cover
  • Computational Science
  • Computations
  • Databases
  • Lead Time
  • Meteorology
  • Plastic Explosives
  • Probability
  • Probability Distributions
  • Reconnaissance
  • Training Devices
  • Two Dimensional
  • Weather Forecasting

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.