Decision Under Conflict: Resolution and Confidence in Judgment and Choice

Abstract

The major themes of the research supported under this grant are the discrepancy between normative and descriptive theory and the constructive nature of decision and judgement. In contrast to the classical theory that treats preferences as given and describes choice as a maximization process, the present approach holds that preferences and judgements are often constructed in the elicitation process. Furthermore, these constructions are contingent on the framing of the problem, the method of elicitation, and the context of choice. During the last three years, we have made considerable progress towards the development of a constructive analysis of choice, documented in the enclosed articles. The present report reviews the major themes: (1) Resolving Conflict; (2) Reference-dependent Theory; (3) The Aggregate/Individual Discrepancy; (4) Elicitation Effects and the Compatibility Principle; (5) Preference and Belief; and (6) Evidence and Confidence. These topics are discussed in turn.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 05, 1992
Accession Number
ADA254495

Entities

People

  • Amos Tversky

Organizations

  • Stanford University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Ambiguity
  • Calibration
  • Construction
  • Contrast
  • Decision Theory
  • Judgment
  • New England
  • Probability
  • Psychological Phenomena And Processes
  • Psychology
  • Scientific Research
  • Security
  • Thinking
  • Uncertainty

Readers

  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.
  • Technical Research and Report Writing.
  • Theoretical Analysis.