Multiple Forecasting Techniques for Fuels

Abstract

This report documents the results of a study examining the multiple forecasting model on fuel sales data and demonstrates improvements in forecasting accuracy that could be realized through the use of the multiple forecasting techniques. More accurate forecasts of demands at the Defense Fuel Supply Points and other customer locations will allow the Defense Fuel Supply Center to better support them by lower fuel movements, fewer emergency shipments and fuel purchases, and perhaps lowered inventory levels resulting from reduced safety level requirements. The report demonstrates that the multiple forecasting technique often provides a more accurate forecast than current system and recommends to the Inventory Management Division of the Directorate of Supply Operations use of the Fuels Multiple Forecasting Model on a test basis. Forecasting, Fuels.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1992
Accession Number
ADA254572

Entities

People

  • Eugene E. Matysek Jr

Organizations

  • Defense Logistics Agency

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Autocorrelation
  • Commodities
  • Computer Programs
  • Data Sets
  • Delphi Method
  • Department Of Defense
  • Economic Analysis
  • Efficiency
  • Emergencies
  • Fuel Oils
  • Fuels
  • Inventory
  • Jet Engine Fuels
  • Logistics
  • Operations Research
  • Standards

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Industrial Economics
  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Ocean-Atmosphere Mesoscale Modeling, Data Assimilation, and Flux Boundary Layers