Evaluation of Relative Importance Judgment Methods in the Context of Causal Prediction

Abstract

This study investigated five methods for measuring the relative importance situational factors in predicting mission success in a planning context. The methods were ranking, 2-category rating (yes or no), ratio scale rating (magnitude estimation), probability change, and necessity or sufficiency judgments. Interpersonal agreement was highest using the probability change method. Comparison of the importance profiles produced by the various methods showed that ranking, rating, and yes or no were most similar to each other. Respondents indicated their preference among the methods and evaluated the methods' usefulness for a number of purposes. The ranking and probability change methods were most preferred and rated most useful.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1992
Accession Number
ADA255718

Entities

People

  • Robert M. Hamm

Organizations

  • U.S. Army Research Institute for the Behavioral and Social Sciences

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Agreements
  • Command And Control
  • Command And Control Systems
  • Command Centers
  • Data Analysis
  • Instructions
  • Judgment
  • Measurement
  • Military Research
  • New York
  • Probability
  • Psychological Phenomena And Processes
  • Psychology
  • Social Psychology
  • Social Sciences
  • Test And Evaluation

Readers

  • Military Leadership and Professional Education.
  • Regression Analysis.