The New Slavic States: Alternative Futures for Ukraine and Belarus

Abstract

This paper analyzes developments in Ukraine and Belarus and important external influences which can affect the future orientation of these two states. It offers two alternative futures for both Ukraine and Belarus and projects their possible economic, foreign policy, and military-security implications. It is clear that the Russian Federation's own development is one of the most important factors in determining how Ukraine and Belarus may orient themselves. Ukraine is caught between an unstable Russian Federation and a group of non- democratic states to the south, while striving to be incorporated into the Western community. It is therefore located at a critical juncture in the new Europe. Belarus will also influence (although less than Ukraine) the success or failure of reform in the former Soviet Union and stability in the new Central Europe.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 01, 1993
Accession Number
ADA268856

Entities

People

  • Robbin F. Laird
  • Susan L. Clark

Organizations

  • Institute for Defense Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Counter WMD
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Central Europe
  • Cis
  • Commerce
  • Economic Development
  • Ethnic Groups
  • Europe
  • European Communities
  • Foreign Policy
  • Foreign Relations
  • Governments
  • International Relations
  • Minority Groups
  • National Governments
  • National Security
  • Security
  • Ussr
  • War Colleges

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union