Kazakhstan Strategic Problems of an Emerging Republic

Abstract

This thesis uses utility theory to derive an equation expressing the utility of deterrent strategies. The resulting equation is then tested against the deterrent options available to the newly independent Republic of Kazakhstan. It predicts the failure of current United States policy and the retention by Kazakhstan, of some form of nuclear deterrence in order to counter Russian aggression brought on by ethnic unrest in Kazakhstan. It further suggests that the deterrent options chosen by Kazakhstan may be irrationality-based deterrence which may lead to the development of some form of "doomsday machine."

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1993
Accession Number
ADA272371

Entities

People

  • Lewis D. Madden

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Autonomy
  • Biomedical
  • C4I
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Arms Control Treaties
  • Central Asia
  • Cis
  • Education
  • Ethnic Groups
  • Families (Human)
  • Governments
  • Human Population
  • Minority Groups
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Political Systems
  • Public Policy
  • Recreation
  • Sociopolitics
  • Treaties
  • Ussr

Fields of Study

  • Political science

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Mathematical Modeling and Probability Theory.
  • Strategic Security Studies