A Methodology to Assess the Impact of the Global Positioning System on Air Combat Outcomes

Abstract

The Air Force has a requirement to quantify the force enhancement effects of military space systems, but no methodology currently exists for the measurement of their contribution to air combat outcome. This research examines the Global Positioning System (GPS) and models its influence on air-to-ground combat. The decision analysis technique of influence diagrams is used to identify the effects of GPS launch decisions and constellation size on the navigation accuracy available to air combatants. The effect of accuracy variations on combat outcome is shown by using a value tree to identify the affected campaign Measures of Effectiveness. The study reveals that the use of GPS for navigation and weapons guidance results in a significant increase in sortie lethality that depends on the actual probabilities of survival, engagement, and kill for various weapon, platform, and target combinations. Also, the simultaneous loss of several GPS satellites is shown to have only a moderate time-averaged effect on navigation and combat outcome in the Northeast and Southwest Asia theaters. The methodology presented can be adapted to the study of other military space systems.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 1993
Accession Number
ADA273730

Entities

People

  • Stephen F. Sovaiko

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Human Systems
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Air Force
  • Artificial Satellites
  • Attrition
  • Global Positioning Systems
  • Inertial Navigation
  • Inertial Navigation Systems
  • Navigation
  • Precision-Guided Munitions
  • Reliability
  • Satellite Constellations
  • Satellite Guided Weapons
  • Space Systems
  • Spacecraft
  • Three Dimensional
  • Warfare
  • Weapons Effects

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Naval Mine Countermeasure Systems Development.
  • Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) Technology.

Technology Areas

  • Space