Nuclear-Survivability Cost Analysis Using Fuzzy-Set Theory

Abstract

To conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of the nuclear survivability of weapon systems, one needs to evaluate and compare different proposed system modifications. That task can require the evaluation of a large number of options and the processing of vague information. This report describes a pilot computer program that has been developed to assist the decision maker in such tasks. The program treats vague information using the formalism of fuzzy set theory and provides the decision maker with a set of best options according to criteria specified by the user. The purpose of the pilot program was to develop and test numerical methods for the treatment of vague data for this application and to establish the feasibility of the general approach for the analysis of survivability. It was found that fuzzy set theory can be used to assist cost- effectiveness analysis of nuclear survivability and that the approach taken in the pilot program can be used with minor modifications in the development of full scale utility programs.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 1993
Accession Number
ADA273951

Entities

People

  • Aivars Celmins

Organizations

  • United States Army Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Computations
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Cost Analysis
  • Cost Effectiveness
  • Costs
  • Databases
  • Digital Information
  • Dynamic Pressure
  • Fuzzy Sets
  • Hardening
  • Military Research
  • Set Theory
  • Survivability
  • Three Dimensional
  • Weapon Systems
  • Weapons

Fields of Study

  • Computer science

Readers

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computer Science.
  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.