Where Does Cuba Stand?
Abstract
Given the potential explosiveness of the Cuban crisis and the possibility of U.S. military involvement, the author examines the Cuban situation. Current events raise questions about security issues for the United States as well as about the effectiveness and wisdom of the three-decade-old U. S. policy of containment and punishment. Many observers believe that the Castro regime is in its final hour, and its passing could be accompanied by massive bloodshed, causing a new wave of refugees to southern Florida. The author argues that since Castro's current policy of 're-equilibration' is not likely to succeed, only two options remain open: deepening the process of government-led reform; or continuing the current policy, with growing chances of violence and turmoil. The author suggests that since the former might jeopardize Castro's hegemonic position, the latter is the more probable option. Castro regime, 'Re- equilibration', Government-led reform, Communist Party of Cuba (PCC), Revolutionary Armed Forces (FAR), Interior Ministry (MININT), Cuba.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jan 14, 1994
- Accession Number
- ADA275902
Entities
People
- Enrique A. Baloyra
Organizations
- United States Army War College