Dealing with Uncertainty about Item Parameters: Expected Response Functions

Abstract

It is a common practice in item response theory (IRT) to treat estimates of item parameters, say B, as if they were the known, true quantities, B. However, ignoring the uncertainty associated with item parameters can lead to biases and over-confidence in subsequent inferences such as ability estimation, especially when item-calibration samples are small. This paper demonstrates how to incorporate uncertainty about B with Lewis's expected response functions (ERFs) , pointwise expected values of item response conditional on examinee proficiency averaged over posterior distributions of item parameters. This paper presents ERFs, outlines procedures for computing them and using them in practical work, and gives an illustration with data from the national Assessment of Educational Progress. Advantages of approximating ERFs response curves with members of familiar parametric families of IRT curves are noted. Bayesian estimation, Expected response functions, Item response theory, Multiple imputation, Pseudolikelihood estimation.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 01, 1994
Accession Number
ADA280610

Entities

People

  • Kathleen M. Sheehan
  • Marilyn S. Wingersky
  • Robert J. Mislevy

Organizations

  • Educational Testing Service

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Bayes Theorem
  • Bayesian Inference
  • Cognitive Science
  • Computational Science
  • Computer Programs
  • Computer Science
  • Education
  • Educational Psychology
  • Information Science
  • Military Research
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • New York
  • Probability
  • Psychology
  • Sampling
  • Statistics
  • Students

Readers

  • Brain and Cognitive Science; Experimental Psychology; Cognitive Neuroscience
  • Psychometric Testing or Psychological Assessment.
  • Statistical inference.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference