Ethnic Conflict in Central Europe and the Balkans: A Framework and U.S. Policy Options

Abstract

This Report provides an analytical framework for examining the potential for militarized ethnic conflict in the central part of Europe and the Balkans. It offers some ways for anticipating the likelihood and the probable intensity of ethnically based competition and its potential as a source of interstate conflict, and it proposes some policies the United States in general and the U.S. Army specifically might adopt to deal with the problem. The framework should serve to pinpoint the future flashpoints, and it may result in the adoption of certain policies that can prevent potential conflicts from becoming actualized. The research reported here was performed as part of a larger project, 'After the Warsaw Pact; The Revolution in Military and Political Affairs in the Former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe: Implications for the U.S. Army,' conducted within the Arroyo Center's Strategy and Doctrine Program and sponsored by the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Intelligence, U.S. Army. The broader project assesses the security outlook in the former communist countries of Europe since the end of the bloc system. This Report should be of interest to policymakers and analysts concerned with post-communist Europe and the overall transformation of the former communist states.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1994
Accession Number
ADA282106

Entities

People

  • Thomas S. Szayna

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Autonomy
  • Biomedical
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Central Europe
  • Contingency Operations (Military)
  • Eastern Europe
  • Ethnic Groups
  • Geography
  • Governments
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Conflicts
  • International Law
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • International Security
  • Minority Groups
  • National Politics
  • Treaties
  • United States
  • War

Readers

  • Asian Economic Studies
  • International Relations and European Studies
  • Systems Analysis and Design