A Fast Recursive Algorithm to Compute the Probability of M-out-of-N events

Abstract

The successful performance of systems (power plants, aircraft, missiles, spacecraft, etc.) while degraded due to either man-made or natural stimuli is currently of interest to the survivability/vulnerability assessment communities. The fault tree model has long been used to qualify and quantify the likelihood of these degraded states. This report details the use of a particular recursive algorithm which is based on the 2-out-of-3 principle for M-out-of-N gates. Software currently available to calculate M-out-of-N gates is usually based on a cut set methodology for quantification. However, when N is too large, the number of cut sets becomes unmanageable. This algorithm provides a technique to calculate an exact probability when N is too large for cut set techniques. Statistical analysis, Fault tree analysis, Fault tolerance, Risk assessment, Recursive algorithm, Computer aided diagnosis, Degradation, Mathematics

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 01, 1994
Accession Number
ADA283679

Entities

People

  • G. E. Radke Jr.
  • J. Evanoff

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Sensors
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Abstracts
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Facilities
  • Algorithms
  • Communities
  • Computational Complexity
  • Equations
  • Governments
  • Law
  • Probability
  • Risk
  • Standards
  • Survivability
  • United States
  • United States Government
  • Urban Areas
  • Vulnerability

Readers

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Technology Areas

  • Space