Command and Control in New Nuclear States: Implications for Stability

Abstract

Command and control systems of new nuclear states are likely to fail when placed under stress. This thesis will demonstrate that such failures can dramatically affect regional or international stability. Describing the current argument over the consequences of nuclear proliferation between proliferation pessimists and deterrence optimists, this thesis shows how C2 is in fact the crux of the debate. This thesis develops an analytical tool that may be applied to new nuclear states in order to classify their C2 systems and to predict when and how these evolving systems might fail. To show the tool's usefulness, it is applied to Ukraine, an important new nuclear state. This thesis also suggests several implications for U.S. foreign policy. Nuclear weapons, Command and control, Proliferation, Arms control, Regional stability, Russia, United States, Ukraine, Nuclear capabilities, U.S. Security policy.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 1994
Accession Number
ADA283932

Entities

People

  • D.C. Foley

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Arms Control
  • Command And Control
  • Command And Control Systems
  • Control Systems
  • Early Warning Systems
  • Employment
  • Failure Mode And Effect Analysis
  • Foreign Policy
  • Geography
  • Governments
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Relations
  • National Security
  • Nuclear Weapons
  • Treaties
  • United States
  • Warning Systems

Fields of Study

  • Physics

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Strategic Security Studies

Technology Areas

  • Fully Networked C3
  • Fully Networked C3 - Command and Control