Cuba Adrift in a Postcommunist World
Abstract
The Castro regime is experiencing its most profound crisis since it came to power in 1959, one that cloud lead to its eventual undoing. The crisis is driven by the collapse communism in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union. That collapse has caused the regime to lose its ideological moorings as well as the international support system on which the Cuban economy had depended. As a consequence, the island's economic situation deteriorated sharply in 1990 and 1991. Will the Castro regime follow the path of the rest of the Soviet empire, or will it survive in the years ahead? The regime may thus be on the verge of a terminal crisis, particularly if the economic decline is not arrested by 1993. But it could confound adversaries and experts alike by surviving. Either eventuality may mean that the 'Cuba problem,' which has vexed U.S. policymakers for more than three decades, may be prolonged well into the 1990s
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jan 01, 1992
- Accession Number
- ADA283980
Entities
People
- David Ronfeldt
- Edward Gonzalez
Organizations
- RAND Corporation