Statistical and Modeling Uncertainties in the Thermal Target Acquisition Model Improvement Program (TAMIP) Predictions.
Abstract
We analyze the uncenainties that are associated with the Thermal Target Acquisition Model Improvement Program (TAMIP) target detection predictions. The deviations of the measured probabilities from the predicted ones are much smaller than for the previous model, but still exceed those that would be expected from the finite statistical samples. Therefore there is still some residual error in the prediction. We determine confidence limits on the predictor variable which are unbiased in the sense that they are accurate at both high and low detection probabilities. We validate the confidence interval using a second data set that was not used in the development of this phase of the target detection model.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Sep 01, 1995
- Accession Number
- ADA301182
Entities
People
- James D. Silk
Organizations
- Institute for Defense Analyses