Japan 2010: Prospective Profiles.

Abstract

The Commander, Seventh Fleet, asked CNA to assess the security environment 6f the Asia-Pacific Region (APR) between now and 2010. Through an examination of relevant economic, political, and demographic data and projections, this research memorandum seeks to identify alternative Japanese security-policy orientations in the year 2010. The Project's final report, The Dynamics of Security in the Asia-Pacific Region (CNA Research Memorandum 95-172, January 1996), discusses the implications of these trends (and of the probable trends in other countries of the region) for U.S. forces, particularly the Navy. A threefold analytical approach is used to analyze alternative Japanese futures. This involves first identifying predictable long-term trends and 'critical uncertainties' in the Japanese political economy-that is, crossroads with unusual significance in determining long-term futures. The approach then uses these systematically predictable and uncertain aspects as building blocks in developing scenarios of alternative futures.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1996
Accession Number
ADA307147

Entities

People

  • Kent E. Calder

Organizations

  • Center for Naval Analyses

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
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DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
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  • Foreign Policy
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  • Military Science
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  • Nuclear Materials
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  • Second World War
  • Southeast Asia
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  • Asian Economic Studies
  • Economics
  • Systems Analysis and Design