Air Attacks vs. Fixed Defended Ground Targets: Combat Models with Imperfect, Non-Instantaneous ISR/BDA.
Abstract
These models explore interactions among (a) Weapon systems, (b) Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) capacity, accuracy, and timeliness, (c) Concepts of Operation, and (d) Scenarios. These interactions allow us to estimate the sensitivity of top level Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs such as BLUE losses and time taken to achieve BLUE's operational objective) to factors such as Improved weapons Pk at longer range; Improved ISR/Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) capability; RED ISR/BDA deception tactics; Improved ISR/BDA counterdeception capabilities; Alternative concepts of operation (as defined by parameters such as number of targets attacked per wave, attacker weapon mix, etc.); Changes in scenario parameters (e.g., total numbers of targets and non-targets). The effects of imperfect, non-instantaneous ISR/BDA on combat attrition are captured by a set of target states which combine BLUE perception, ground truth, and recent target history. Target state populations after the (n+1)st wave are computed from target state populations after the nth wave via functional dependencies involving the attrition, ISR/BDA, OPS concept, and scenario models used. By tracking these target state ulations with time, one can unravel the chains of cause-and-effect that lead to the (sometimes counterintuitive) sensitivities of MOEs to the various parameters mentioned earlier.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Jun 20, 1996
- Accession Number
- ADA310556
Entities
People
- C. C. Reed
Organizations
- The Aerospace Corporation