Strategic Prediction for Adaptive Action: Informing the United Nations.

Abstract

Strategic prediction is the comprehension of the strategic purpose of potential belligerents or threats in the context of political objectives and evolving circumstances, over time. This goes beyond the requirements previously fulfilled by intelligence, and includes gaming, modeling, comparative studies and a host of other techniques. If mobilized at the international strategic level of the United Nations, these techniques embodied in a Strategic Prediction Center could dramatically improve the capacity of the United Nations to develop consensus to prevent crises with adaptive, iterative action/reaction decisions. The outline of such a Center and its necessary characteristics and capabilities are discussed and recommended.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 15, 1997
Accession Number
ADA326567

Entities

People

  • Vincent W. Kennedy

Organizations

  • United States Army War College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Contingency Operations (Military)
  • Databases
  • Department Of Defense
  • Foreign Relations
  • Governments
  • Intelligence Community
  • Intelligence Cycle
  • Intelligence Products
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Organizations
  • National Security
  • New York
  • Political Science
  • Predictive Modeling
  • United Nations
  • United States
  • War Colleges

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Strategic Security Studies