War 2010: The Emergence of the Wild Card Scenario.

Abstract

This research paper explores the possibility of using prophecy-based predictions to create worst case scenarios or 'wild cards,' when examined within the context of current trends and indicators of world threats. Based on the interpretations of some of the more popular prophecies, a chilling scenario develops in which China plays a prominent future role in conjunction with its ally, Iran. This paper provides options on how these worst case scenarios can be employed in assisting the US armed forces to prepare for a potentially cataclysmic future. Secondary themes addressed are the dilemmas confronting military professionals presented with prophecy-based predictions and the adequacy of the threat-based analysis system to prepare the US armed forces for future conflict in a wild card scenario.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 07, 1997
Accession Number
ADA326876

Entities

People

  • Victor M. Rosello

Organizations

  • United States Army War College

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • California
  • Department Of Defense
  • Disasters
  • Eastern Europe
  • Europe
  • Humanitarian Assistance
  • Iraq
  • Military Organizations
  • Military Strategy
  • National Security
  • Natural Disasters
  • Security
  • Southwest Asia
  • United States
  • War Colleges
  • Warfare
  • Weapons

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Strategic Security Studies