Probability Models for Battle Damage Assessment (Simple Shoot-Look-Shoot and Beyond)

Abstract

In spite of the precision of modern weaponry and sensor/communication systems, shots fired at targets do occasionally miss (or cause only partial damage). Consequently a sequence of more than one shot may be directed at a particular target to increase the probability of kill. The role of Battle-damage assessment (BDA) in such a setting is to make a judgment as to when further shots are actually necessary. BDA is not error-free. Probability models of the effect of battle damage assessment on shooting tactics are described and studied. Model results are presented to examine some features of tradeoffs between kill probability, PK, and the capacity of a hypothetical BDA system to correctly judge the effect of a shot.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1997
Accession Number
ADA329197

Entities

People

  • Donald P. Gaver Jr.
  • Patricia A. Jacobs

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • C4I
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Battle Damage Assessment
  • Battles
  • Communication Systems
  • Damage
  • Damage Assessment
  • Equations
  • Information Operations
  • Information Warfare
  • Judgment
  • Kill Probabilities
  • Military Operations
  • Military Research
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Systems Engineering
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Marksmanship and Weaponry.
  • Theoretical Analysis.