Stochastic Simulation Analysis - 2005 (SSA-05)

Abstract

The Support Force Requirements Analysis - 2005 (SRA-05), recently completed by the US Army Concepts Analysis Agency (CAA) is an important component of the Total Amry Analysis - 2005, which estimates the quantities of Army combat support and service support units required for hypothetical warfare contingencies in 2005. The combat outcomes of SRA-05 were estimated by means of the Concepts Evaluation Model (CEM), a fully automated deterministic constructive computer model of theater-level warfare that is used extensively for Army studies of force capabilities and requirements. Since 1991 CAA has been developing and testing a stochastic simulation model of theater warfare, based on the CEM, called STOCEM. The objectives of this research are as follows: (1) Using STOCEM, simulate a base case conventional campaign from each of the Korea and Southwest Asia theaters of SRA-05. (2) Compare the results of STOCEM with deterministic CEM results of SRA-05. This report provides the results, observations, and recommendations of the research.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jul 01, 1997
Accession Number
ADA329429

Entities

People

  • Ralph Johnson

Organizations

  • Center for Army Analysis

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Ammunition
  • Armored Personnel Carriers
  • Asia
  • Attack Helicopters
  • Attrition
  • Computers
  • Confidence Limits
  • Databases
  • Northeast Asia
  • Probability
  • Simulations
  • Southwest Asia
  • Spreadsheet Software
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Vehicles
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD)
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Maritime Combat Support and Expeditionary Logistics.