Improvements to the Ship Applied Fire Engineering (SAFE) Cumulative L-Curve Algorithm Using Reliability Theory

Abstract

The Ship Applied Fire Engineering (SAFE) computer program evaluates the probability of limiting the spread of fire from one compartment to another throughout a vessel. The results from SAFE are expressed in terms of the frequency of expected loss of each compartment. To evaluate these frequencies, it is necessary to determine the cumulative probability of loss of each compartment in the ship as a target from all possible fire paths from all possible rooms of origin. The existing algorithm in SAFE for calculating the loss of target compartments, referred to as the Cumulative L-Curve Algorithm," errs on the conservative side since it permits the contribution of a particular compartment to be counted more than once toward the total probability of loss for a target compartment. The approach selected to develop a mathematically valid cumulative L-Curve algorithm utilizes the mathematical tools of reliability theory, specifically for interconnected systems. The implication of this research is that with the new algorithm, SAFE will be able to more accurately calculate the fire safety levels of all compartments. Performance-based fire protection results must accurately indicate whether compartments are under- or over-protected relative to desired objectives. The improved algorithm will help achieve this goal.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Oct 01, 1997
Accession Number
ADA334084

Entities

People

  • Adam T. Garland
  • Ansuman Bagchi
  • Arthur Heinricher
  • Brian Dolph

Organizations

  • United States Coast Guard Research & Development Center

Tags

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Coast Guard
  • Computations
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Engineering
  • Fire Protection
  • Fire Safety
  • Governments
  • Laminated Plastics
  • Materials
  • Reliability
  • Safety
  • Safety Analysis
  • Safety Engineering
  • Thermal Insulation
  • United States
  • United States Government

Fields of Study

  • Engineering

Readers

  • Aviation Safety Risk Assessment.
  • Fire Suppression Systems Design.
  • Regression Analysis.