Regression to the Mean in Half-Life Studies.

Abstract

Half-life studies of environmental contaminants in humans are restricted to only a few measurements per subject taken after the initial exposure, the initial dose is usually unknown, and subjects are included in the study only if their body burden is above a threshold C. The assumption of a one compartment first order decay model leads to a repeated measures linear model relating the logarithm of the biomarker with time, with the negative of the coefficient of time being the decay rate. The usual least-squares estimate of the decay rate is biased due to regression to the mean. In this report, based on the repeated measure linear model, unbiased estimates of the decay rate have been developed by the method of least-squares. This has been done for the two cases: (1) when there is no covariate (Report I) and (2) when there is a categorical covariate (Report II). The maximum likelihood estimator of the decay rate is developed (Report III) under the assumption that the logarithm of the concentration of the contaminant for the k time points of each subject has a truncated multivariate normal distribution with AR (1).

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 1998
Accession Number
ADA339161

Entities

People

  • Ram C. Tripathi

Organizations

  • University of Texas at San Antonio

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Air Force Research Laboratories
  • Algorithms
  • Biological Markers
  • Computer Science
  • Directed Energy Weapons
  • Environmental Pollutants
  • Equations
  • Estimators
  • Governments
  • Integrals
  • Mathematics
  • Maximum Likelihood Estimation
  • Measurement
  • Normal Distribution
  • Random Variables
  • Statistical Algorithms

Fields of Study

  • Mathematics

Readers

  • Nuclear and Radiation Engineering.
  • Regression Analysis.