An Analysis of the President's Budgetary Proposals for Fiscal Year 1999

Abstract

As requested by the Senate Committee on Appropriations, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has estimated the effects of the President's budget proposals for fiscal year 1999 using its own economic and technical assumptions. CBO estimates that the President's policies will reduce projected baseline surpluses for the total budget by $43 billion between 1999 and 2003-and will temporarily dip the budget back into red ink by a small amount in 2000. Nonetheless, the overall picture is one of continuing surpluses through 2003. Yet the good news embodied in the projections by both CBO and the Office of Management and Budget could easily be reversed. If revenue growth this year is just one-half of one percent lower than expected, the budget could remain in deficit. Alternatively, continued robust economic growth could push up estimated surpluses. In any case, deficits or surpluses over the next several years that differ from current projections by upward of $100 billion are entirely possible.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 1998
Accession Number
ADA341356

Entities

Organizations

  • Congressional Budget Office

Tags

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  • Biomedical

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  • Business Administration
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Fields of Study

  • Economics

Readers

  • Economics
  • Public Financial Management and Budgeting