A Commander's Estimate of the Situation: Kosovo & The Southern Balkans.
Abstract
There is a continuing possibility that another Balkan War could erupt in the near future. A massive flood of ethnic Albanian refugees flowing from the Serbian province of Kosovo into Macedonia and the surrounding countries could ignite a violent regional conflict. This nightmare scenario could lead to direct clashes between NATO members Greece and Turkey, as well as Serbia, Macedonia, Albania, and Bulgaria. Thus, the containment of an expanded Balkan War is of paramount concern to NATO and the United States. The current commitment of forces to Bosnia was made in part to ensure the long-term credibility of the Alliance. The prevention of a military confrontation between two member states is even more critical. In addition, the potential humanitarian crisis that could result from continued Serbian aggression in and of itself calls for some sort of international involvement.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Feb 05, 1999
- Accession Number
- ADA363226
Entities
People
- Timothy A. Vuono
Organizations
- Naval War College