Three Essays on the Economics of Military Manpower

Abstract

Three separate areas of military manpower are analyzed: the effects of retirement pay on quits, and of military service on lifetime earnings; and the quantity-quality trade-offs in the market for recruits. Coupling the 1986 change in military retirement pay with the Army's delayed entry program makes a natural experiment with individuals entering active duty during the same period governed by retirement systems whose generosity differs by as much as 20%. Focusing only on Army enlistees, lower bounds for the elasticity of retention with respect to retirement pay are 0.80 for two-year and 0.00 for three and four-year enlistees. With simple assumptions and ignoring additional costs in recruiting, this analysis suggests the costs of the new retirement system exceed the benefits. We analyze the effect of changes in quantity demanded on the supply of quality. Using data on military recruiting over an eight-year period in the 1990s provides sufficient variation in economic conditions and demand to estimate this relationship.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Aug 01, 1999
Accession Number
ADA366417

Entities

People

  • David C. Trybula

Organizations

  • University of Texas at Austin

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Active Duty
  • Air Force
  • Business Administration
  • Department Of Defense
  • Economics
  • Employment
  • Enlisted Personnel
  • Investments
  • Labor Markets
  • Military Personnel
  • National Security
  • Personnel Management
  • Recruiting
  • Recruits
  • Students
  • United States
  • United States Military Academy

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Military History of the United States in the 20th Century.
  • Naval Personnel Management