Analyzing Success of Navy Enlistees with Moral Waivers.

Abstract

Unsuitable attrition of recruits from the Navy is a costly problem. This thesis compares unsuitable attrition rates for recruits with moral waivers to the rates of recruits without moral waivers. Unsuitable attrition is also modeled using both logistic regression and classification trees for the recruits who received moral waivers. The comparison and models were completed on two data sets, one that contained all recruits for FY's 95-96 and a subset of the data modified to account for a known bias in the data. The comparison of unsuitable attrition rates found that recruits with moral waivers do have a significantly higher rate of unsuitable attrition than that of recruits without moral waivers. The prediction models produce "significant" variables, but they predict poorly when applied to the data. However, it is found that recruits who are not high school graduates and receive a moral waiver are the most likely unsuitable attrition losses. Unsuitable attrition rates differ when the data collection error is addressed, but both data sets result in the same conclusion that recruits with moral waivers have a higher unsuitable attrition rate than recruits without moral waivers.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 1999
Accession Number
ADA368117

Entities

People

  • Lyle D. Hall

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Attrition
  • Classification
  • Crime
  • Criminals
  • Data Sets
  • Databases
  • Drug Abuse
  • Enlisted Personnel
  • Ethnic Groups
  • Information Science
  • Losses
  • Native Americans
  • Navy
  • Personnel Management
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Recruiting
  • Training

Readers

  • Naval Personnel Management
  • Regression Analysis.