A Thunderstorm Prediction Technique Based on a Perfect-Prog Approach.

Abstract

We have developed a thunderstorm prediction technique for use with a mesoscale model to satisfy Air Force Weather's Theater Battle Management (TBM) stated requirement for maximum cloud tops and coverage. The prediction technique is to be implemented in the Global Theater/Weather Analysis and Prediction System (GTWAPS). A perfect-prog approach was implemented using synoptic and subsynoptic-scale data for diagnosis and short-range probability forecasts. Future work is discussed, including, most importantly, follow-on testing and refinements of the technique.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 1999
Accession Number
ADA371417

Entities

People

  • Allan J. Bussey
  • Brian Newton
  • Daniel Debenedictis
  • Donald C. Norquist
  • Michael F. Remeika

Organizations

  • Air Force Research Laboratory

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Air Force Research Laboratories
  • Algorithms
  • Basic Programming Language
  • Climate Change
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Sets
  • Databases
  • Detection
  • Environment
  • Lightning
  • Probability
  • Spreadsheet Software
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Storms
  • Thunderstorms
  • Wind Direction

Fields of Study

  • Environmental science

Readers

  • Atmospheric Science/Meteorology
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Missile Defense Systems.