A Strategic Analysis Model For Center Of Gravity Determination In Full Spectrum
Abstract
There is currently no commonly accepted joint or interagency model to assist strategic planners in identifying and targeting strategic centers of gravities (COGs) of potential adversaries in full spectrum warfare anticipated in the future, to include foreign states and non-state entities. This paper will analyze the various definitions of COG commonly used today and propose a definition that better describes how the COG concept can be used in strategic planning. Additionally, this paper will provide a critical analysis of a model for COG determination and then propose an alternative model with wider application and increased simplicity. The new model is a three step process that includes determining possible COGs, conducting an evaluation using determinates to estimate the effectiveness and applicability in targeting these COGs, and finally applying instruments of national power that will achieve the desired change affect on the COG. This model uses the basic premise that any adversary can be examined as a system. Four COG categories are identified as an inherent part of any system: control mechanism, essential elements, the populace and enforcement mechanism. To demonstrate the feasibility and suitability of this model, a case study is used with North Korea as a possible adversary. This investigation reveals that the new model, called "Joint Strategic Analysis Model (JSAM)", will provide strategic planners with a comprehensive tool for examining foreign states and other foreign entities as "systems" in the full spectrum of conflict and assist in determining and affecting our adversary's COGs.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Apr 20, 2000
- Accession Number
- ADA377415
Entities
People
- Ralph J. Perry
Organizations
- United States Army War College