The Future of North Korea: Scenarios and Implications for the United States Army

Abstract

In recent years, North Korea has been in plagued by economic decline, famine, and international isolation. Due to the current situation in North Korea, there has been recent speculation about the future of North Korea. Some feel that it will collapse, others hypothesize that North Korea will gradually reform and open itself to the outside world. The hard landing' and soft landing' scenarios for North Koreas future are discussed, and the argument for a North Korean soft landing' is made in this thesis, based on recent diplomatic events, and internal changes in North Korea. Regardless of the future of North Korea, each scenario carries with it certain implications and essential tasks for the United States Army in Korea. These implications and tasks are explored, and recommendations for dealing with the future of North Korea are put forth.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
May 08, 2000
Accession Number
ADA377473

Entities

People

  • Darrell H. Zemitis

Organizations

  • University of California, Berkeley

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Agreements
  • Commerce
  • Economic Systems
  • Foreign Aid
  • Foreign Relations
  • Fuel Oils
  • Governments
  • International Organizations
  • International Trade
  • Military Science
  • National Security
  • North Korea
  • Personnel Management
  • Political Ideologies
  • Political Systems
  • Treaties
  • United States

Readers

  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Educational Psychology