Age Replacement Policies in Multiple Time Scales

Abstract

We develop and estimate optimal age replacement policies for devices whose age is measured in multiple time scales. For example, the age of a jet engine can be measured in chronological time, the number of flight hours, and the number of landings. Under a single-scale age replacement policy, a device is replaced at age or upon failure, whichever occurs first. We show that a natural generalization to k > 2 scales is to replace non-failed devices when their usage path crosses the boundary of a k-dimensional region M, where M is a lower set with respect to the matrix partial order. For lifetimes measured in two scales, we consider two contexts. In the first, devices age along linear usage paths. For this case, we generalize the single-scale long-run average cost and estimate optimal two-scale policies. We show these policies are strongly consistent estimators of the true optimal policies under mild conditions, and study small-sample behavior using simulation. For the second context, in which device usage paths are unknown, we use two-dimensional renewal theory to derive the long-run average cost of a policy. We give examples in both settings and note that these ideas generalize to more than two scales.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 28, 2000
Accession Number
ADA380658

Entities

People

  • Scott G. Frickenstein

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Aircraft Equipment
  • Aircrafts
  • Case Studies
  • Data Analysis
  • Data Sets
  • Engineering
  • Maintenance
  • Operations Research
  • Preventive Maintenance
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Statistical Inference
  • Surveys
  • Theorems
  • United States

Readers

  • Aerospace Engineering
  • Atmospheric Science / Meteorology, specifically Wind Wave Turbulence.
  • Statistical inference.