J-STOCHWARS and Beyond: Models for Force Motion and Interaction that Represent Uncertain Perception

Abstract

This report records work carried out on a theater-level simulation modeling effort entitled J-STOCHWARS (JS). It is a connected set of working papers: minimal attempt has been made to polish the prose, and redundancies occur. There remain needed additions and modifications. These will be made as the authors adapt the ideas for use in planning models that are under current, and future military development. Work on the simulation model has been supplanted by an analytical scoping model, Battlespace Information War (BAT/IW). The emphasis of the report is upon recognition, characterization and exploitation and control of aspects of uncertainty in military operations. It emphasizes simple low-resolution representations of the products of generic imaging sensors. Later work will deal with other input, such as ELINT and COMINT. We provide ideas as to how such information products can be combined or fused, basically using a Bayesian and Gaussian/Normal-distribution theory format for computational and conceptual convenience. We investigate processes for probabilistically updating opponent course of action (COA) estimates. Many of the computational ideas and algorithms have been incorporated in a computer program termed Joint Warfare Analysis Experimental Prototype (JWAEP). The latter runs on a SUN computer.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Sep 01, 2000
Accession Number
ADA383858

Entities

People

  • Donald P. Gaver Jr.
  • Mark A. Youngren
  • Patricia A. Jacobs
  • Samuel H. Parry

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Sensors
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Armored Personnel Carriers
  • Computer Programs
  • Computers
  • Detection
  • Distribution Functions
  • Distribution Theory
  • Low Resolution
  • Military Operations
  • Models
  • Normal Distribution
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Simulations
  • Statistics
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Geospatial Intelligence and Artificial Intelligence Analytics
  • Joint Military Operations and Doctrine.

Technology Areas

  • AI & ML
  • AI & ML - Bayesian Inference
  • AI & ML - DoD AI Strategy