DISC-O-TIC: A Discrete-Time Analysis Meta-Model for Use in Combat Systems Studies that Utilize High-Resolution Simulation Models

Abstract

This paper provides various meta-models for extending or extrapolating in time, and varying and enhancing in coverage capability, the 2-day output of a high-resolution simulation model, here specifically but not exclusively, the Army's COSAGE. The models we propose, generically called DISC-0-TIC, (Discrete-Time Analytical Meta Model) are tailored to employ the discrete-time output of COSAGE and, potentially, many other such models. The model parameters are estimated from data available from a high-resolution simulation model; in the case of COSAGE the killer/victim scoreboards are used. The models are used to compute/estimate, in spread-sheet format, future force sizes and compositions that result from mutual attrition, as well as ammunition expenditures. Meta-model examination can and is shown to reveal apparent anomalies in data. Meta-models that reflect environmental variations and adaptable firing (ATCAL-like) firing rates illustrate those effects for long (8-day) battles.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 2000
Accession Number
ADA385447

Entities

People

  • Donald P. Gaver Jr.
  • Patricia A. Jacobs

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Algorithms
  • Ammunition
  • Attrition
  • Differential Equations
  • Equations
  • Firing Rate
  • High Resolution
  • Indirect Fire
  • Kill Probabilities
  • Mathematical Models
  • Munitions
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Simulations
  • Statistical Analysis
  • Weapons

Readers

  • Adaptive Control and Estimation with Uncertainty in Dynamic Systems.
  • Computational Modeling and Simulation