Broken Promises: The United States, China, and Nuclear Non-Proliferation
Abstract
This essay outlines United States (U.S.) non-proliferation policy, noting tailored declaration and implementation of that policy for China. It assesses the effectiveness and consistency of U.S. policy towards China. It presents recommendations in the context of ends, ways and means, indicating how the elements of national power can improve the policy track record to positively influence China's proliferation activities over the next generation. On balance, U.S. efforts to stem the proliferation of nuclear weapons and technology have been very successful. Unfortunately, implementation of U.S. non-proliferation policy in China has been inconsistent and ineffective. Despite limited success in encouraging Chinese adherence to international norms over the years, evidence suggests that the U.S. has failed to stem China's supply of nuclear and missile technology and materials to rogue states. China continues to proliferate because of its security concerns, its tenuously competitive relationship with the United States, and its economic and political ambitions. The U.S. has tolerated this behavior because it is unwilling to impose real sanctions on China for fear of losing commercial and trade ties. Lack of mutual understanding and effective engagement also contributes to the problem. The stakes are high. If the U.S. does not effectively enforce its non-proliferation treaties and agreements with China, it could face challenges to its global leadership, the emergence of a regional nuclear arms race in Asia, and diminished national security.
Document Details
- Document Type
- Technical Report
- Publication Date
- Nov 30, 2000
- Accession Number
- ADA389752
Entities
People
- Nathaniel H. Sledge Jr
Organizations
- United States Army War College