HEC-FDA Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis

Abstract

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers software HEC-FDA is a tool that uses Risk-based Analysis to compute Expected Annual Damage (EAD) for flood damage reduction studies. EAD reduction is computed as the difference between EAD with and without alternative projects, a quantity used to aid in flood damage reduction project selection. Depending on the time and money spent in the collection and preparation of the input data sets, relatively lesser or greater accuracy can be achieved in EAD computation. Sets of numerical experiments on synthetic large and small drainage basins show that EAD is differently sensitive to the major input functions to HEC-FDA and their associated uncertainties depending on drainage area and the shape of the damage-stage curve. The results from the synthetic data sets are verified by two case studies on the Blue River, Missouri and the Chippewa River, Georgia. The relative sensitivity of EAD to its input functions and associated uncertainties can be used in federal investment decision-making for flood damage reduction projects.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 2001
Accession Number
ADA390460

Entities

People

  • Mary J. Briant

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Accuracy
  • Bayesian Inference
  • Case Studies
  • Climate Change
  • Computational Science
  • Computations
  • Data Sets
  • Drainage Basins
  • Engineering
  • Engineers
  • Flood Control
  • Flood Damage
  • Floods
  • Levees
  • Missouri
  • Probability Distributions
  • United States

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