Revising R&D Program Budgets When Considering Funding Curtailment With a Weibull Model

Abstract

This research develops an analytical technique to estimate the impact of funding curtailment on an R&D program. The method quickly produces a revised budget by year for an on-going R&D program when funding in one year is reduced. We assume program requirements remain unchanged. The program duration may be unchanged or "stretched" to a later completion date. We use the Rayleigh and Weibull functions to model expenditure profiles, which forms basis of the analytical approach. Our proposed methodology accounts for budget outlay rates and inflation. We validate the proposed analytical technique using historical cost data from several programs.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 20, 2001
Accession Number
ADA391273

Entities

People

  • Paul H. Porter

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Ground and Sea Platforms
  • Materials and Manufacturing Processes
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Air Force
  • Budget Estimates
  • Business Administration
  • Cost Analysis
  • Cost Models
  • Distribution Functions
  • Engineering
  • Financial Management
  • Manpower Utilization
  • Mathematical Models
  • Military Acquisition
  • Military Budgets
  • Probability
  • Probability Density Functions
  • Probability Distributions
  • Software Development

Readers

  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis
  • Mathematics or Statistics
  • Statistical inference.