Unrest and Instability in Southeastern Europe: Cold War Insights for the 21st Century

Abstract

This study's underlying premise is that history continues to play an important role in the daily lives of those who live in Southeastern Europe. Therefore by examining where unrest has occurred during the last 50 years and over what issues, one is likely to shed light on future hotspots in this unstable region during the 21st Century. This study looks specifically at Bulgaria and Romania-two former Warsaw Pact nations that seek entry into NATO-and explores the factors that have spurred civil and ethnic unrest, the form it has taken, where it has occurred, and the identities of the groups involved. The study's findings enhance our understanding of where and why unrest has erupted in Southeastern Europe and how this discontent has changed in Bulgaria and Romania since the end of the Cold War. This study also assesses how these changes pose new challenges for the intelligence community in predicting ethnic, social, and political conflict in this region and offers some potential tools to aid in overcoming these challenges.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Apr 18, 2000
Accession Number
ADA394128

Entities

People

  • Jim Marchio

Organizations

  • University of Illinois Urbana–Champaign

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • East Germany
  • Economic Systems
  • Ethnic Groups
  • Freedom Of Speech
  • Geographic Regions
  • Intergovernmental Organizations
  • International Organizations
  • International Relations
  • Labor Unions
  • National Governments
  • National Politics
  • National Security
  • Recreation
  • Second World War
  • Security Personnel
  • Sociopolitics
  • Treaties

Readers

  • International Relations and European Studies
  • Strategic Security Studies