Does Increased Pilot Training Commitment Ground High-Flyers?

Abstract

This thesis explores the effects of changing the length of service owed to the Air Force for attending pilot training. The Air Force demands service as repayment for the expense incurred by the government to provide the training. From time to time, the length of commitment required has altered as the needs of the Air Force have changed. The Air Force believes that increasing the length of commitment will help to address long-term pilot supply issues. This thesis takes an empirical look at one possible negative side effect of increasing the length of commitment owed, namely the possibility of varying effects on the probability of attending pilot training on individuals of different ability levels, demographic make-ups, information positions, and macroeconomic conditions. The group used for studying these issues is a collection of graduates from the United States Air Force Academy from the class years of 1985 through 2000. Using this dataset, which has a plethora of performance and demographic data, a linear probability model is estimated to determine the effect on the probability of selecting pilot training due to an increased commitment length. The results of this study show that increasing the length of commitment leads to a negative impact on the probability of attending pilot training for nearly all of the members of the dataset. Furthermore, the effects are stronger on the individuals with higher performance, as measured by several different measures used by the Air Force Academy. In multiple interaction models, the negative effects are stronger on individuals showing improvement in performance versus individuals with declining performance. There are no differences in the effects on groups with different demographics and information positions. Additionally, the macroeconomic conditions have small bearings on the results.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jan 01, 2001
Accession Number
ADA399364

Entities

People

  • Justin L. Ramey

Organizations

  • Air Force Institute of Technology

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Active Duty
  • Air Force
  • Air Force Personnel
  • Data Sets
  • Economics
  • Education
  • Employment
  • Ethnic Groups
  • Flight Training
  • Minority Groups
  • Native Americans
  • Personnel Management
  • Pilots
  • Reserve Officer Training Corps
  • Students
  • Training
  • United States

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Government and Public Administration Law.
  • Psychometric Testing or Psychological Assessment.