Marine Thirty-Year Plan

Abstract

The U.S. Marine Corps is in need of a unified enlisted manpower model to guide the recruiting, training, promoting and discharging of an enlisted force of over 153,000 Marines. This thesis develops a set of linear programs (LPs) for this purpose. Each LP optimizes the estimated manpower struction within an occupational field by varying the number of recruits, promotions, and lateral moves over a 30-year time horizon, at a yearly level of detail. The goal is to meet annual force-level targets specified by Headquarters Marine Corps for cohorts defined by occupational specialty, and rank. Estimated attrition rates are key inputs; these are based on Kaplan-Meier estimators for "survival probabilities" computed from Marine Corps data covering 1990-2000. Cm%Current force strength data, also required by the LPs, is derived from the Marine Corps database. Average LP solving time is less than thirty minutes on a Pentium IV 2 Ghz personal computer, using the GAMS modeling system and the CPLEX LP solver.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2002
Accession Number
ADA401576

Entities

People

  • Jacob C. Enholm

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • Biomedical
  • Cyber
  • Engineered Resilient Systems
  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Administrative Personnel
  • Airframes
  • Attrition
  • Basic Programming Language
  • Computers
  • Databases
  • Enlisted Personnel
  • Estimators
  • Fixed Wing Aircraft
  • Linear Programming
  • Management Personnel
  • Marine Corps
  • Operations Research
  • Personal Computers
  • Personnel Management
  • Probability
  • Recruiting

Readers

  • Military Leadership and Professional Education.
  • Operations Research
  • Regression Analysis.