Colombia's Economic Recession: The Impact of Guerrilla Violence, Illicit Drug Trafficking, and the 1991 Constitution

Abstract

Colombia has tolerated for almost fifty years the oldest guerrilla movements in the region, but at the same time the country has showed stable economic growth up until 1998. Now, in the face of an economic recession, the puzzle is to establish which of the following variables; guerrilla violence, illicit drug trafficking, or the 1991 Constitution, have most affected economic stability in the last half of 1990s. The thesis will argue: (1) guerrilla violence is the most important variable that impacts Colombia's economy, causing severe internal and external migration. Kidnapping, extortion, and infrastructure attacks represent the loss of million of dollars in economic damages. (2) The illicit drug trafficking is the second most important variable that has affected Colombia's economy, causing an economic domestic boom during the period of the Cali and Medellin drug-cartels, infiltrating the economy with money laundering and fictitious business. (3) The 1991 Constitution established many new economic responsibilities at the state level, which aggravated the state fiscal crisis. The separation of taxation and spending among different levels of government has fueled severe problems of fiscal imbalance, because the bulk of tax revenues is collected by the Central Government but spent at municipal levels.

Open PDF

Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Dec 01, 2001
Accession Number
ADA404726

Entities

People

  • Pedro A. Acosta

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Cyber
  • Energy and Power Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Commerce
  • Criminals
  • Drug Trafficking
  • Employment
  • Geography
  • Governments
  • Health Services
  • Human Population
  • Judiciary
  • Money
  • National Governments
  • National Security
  • Personnel Management
  • Police
  • Political Systems
  • Societies
  • Terrorists

Readers

  • Economics
  • Political Violence and Terrorism Studies.