The Persian Gulf in the Coming Decade: Trends, Threats, and Opportunities

Abstract

This report examines likely challenges to U.S. interests in the Persian Gulf region in the coming decade. In particular, the report explores the conventional military strength of Iran and Iraq, the potential for subversion, and the social and economic weaknesses of all the regional states. In addition, it seeks to identify key uncertainties and trends that may shape the region's future. It then assesses the implications of these trends for the United States, particularly the U.S. military. The research was completed before the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States. These attacks had profound implications not only for America but also for the countries of the persian Gulf. This report does not address the ramifications of these attacks and the U.S. response; the U.S. campaign is still unfolding and the issues are the subject of current RAND research. The project was sponsored by the Director of Operational Plans Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff for Air and Space Operations (HQ USAF/XOX) and took place in the Strategy and Doctrine Program of RAND's Project AIR FORCE.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Feb 01, 2003
Accession Number
ADA411936

Entities

People

  • Daniel L. Byman
  • John R. Wise

Organizations

  • RAND Corporation

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Biomedical
  • Counter WMD
  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Human Systems
  • Space

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Air Force
  • Aircrafts
  • Armored Personnel Carriers
  • Defense Systems
  • Employment
  • Fixed Wing Aircraft
  • Geography
  • Governments
  • Logistics
  • Military Personnel
  • Military Science
  • National Security
  • Personnel Management
  • Rotary Wing Aircraft
  • Terrorism
  • Terrorists
  • Warfare

Readers

  • Defense Acquisition Program Management
  • East Asian Political and Security Studies within the Soviet Union
  • Irregular Warfare and Special Operations Cyberspace Operations against Adversarial Threats.

Technology Areas

  • Space