Predictive Power for Program Success from Engineering and Manufacturing Development Performance Trends

Abstract

This study examined 28 acquisition program characteristics to determine if any of them could be a predictor of program performance during the Engineering and Manufacturing Development (EMD) phase of development. A population of 46 programs (with EMD completion dates from 1980 to 1997) was used. The population was divided into two groups using EMD duration overrun as the criterion. The two groups were confirmed as statistically separate for schedule. Defining the greater overrun group as the "bad" programs, it was found that all the characteristics correlated to "badness" were dependent on schedule performance; they were descriptive rather than predictive. It was also found that the Selective Acquisition Reporting system had succeeded in identifying the "bad" programs; but corrective measures, if any, were ineffective. Additional research indicated that the contract type most likely to lead to success in EMD was Cost Plus Incentive Fee.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Nov 01, 2002
Accession Number
ADA415097

Entities

People

  • Charles K. Gailey Iii.

Organizations

  • Defense Acquisition University

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Air Platforms
  • C4I
  • Sensors
  • Space
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Acquisition
  • Airborne Warning And Control System
  • Artillery
  • Contractors
  • Contracts
  • Control Systems
  • Data Sets
  • Defense Systems
  • Department Of Defense
  • Engineering
  • Manufacturing
  • Military Acquisition
  • Motivation
  • Procurement
  • Systems Management
  • Test And Evaluation
  • Universities

Readers

  • Educational Psychology
  • Instructional Design and Training Evaluation.
  • Life Cycle Cost Analysis