Determining the Number of Officers to Graduate from the Naval School and the Number of Naval School Graduated Officers to Promote by Rank in Order to Meet Actual and Future Needs of the Mexican Navy

Abstract

The Mexican Navy is challenged with too few 0-1 to 0-3 officers and too many 0-6 to 0-9 officers. This research developed three models to explain the challenge. Through the use of a transition probabilities matrix model one predicts the number of graduates from the Mexican Naval School based on accessions. Model two is a transition probability matrix that uses model one's output to forecast the distribution of Naval School Graduate Officers (NSG0) by grade over the next ten years. Model three is a non-linear objective function that observes gaps between expected inventory and demand of NSG0 over the same period.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Jun 01, 2003
Accession Number
ADA417535

Entities

People

  • Fidencio V. Davila

Organizations

  • Naval Postgraduate School

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Human Systems

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Active Duty
  • Attrition
  • California
  • Computations
  • Equations
  • Inventory
  • Markov Chains
  • Markov Models
  • Military Personnel
  • Operations Research
  • Probability
  • Random Variables
  • Security
  • Stochastic Processes
  • Students
  • Transitions
  • United States

Readers

  • Computational Modeling and Simulation
  • Military Leadership and Professional Education.
  • Naval Personnel Management