An Improvement to Situational Force Scoring for Adjudicating Attrition in Combined Arms Conflicts

Abstract

Situational Force Scoring is routinely used for combined-arms combat adjudication. This paper asserts that there is a basic problem with Situational Force Scoring due to its use of aggregation and disaggregation. Examples are used to show that in certain limiting situations, nonsensical attrition results are predicted. A simple alteration is suggested and the approaches are compared for a typical application whereby optimal force structures are sought. For several situations both approaches suggest identical or similar solutions, although the resulting attrition display a lower level of correlation. Importantly, however, in some situations the new approach suggests somewhat different results. A game theory analysis is also provided to illustrate the potential use of such models in estimating robust force allocations.

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Document Details

Document Type
Technical Report
Publication Date
Mar 01, 2004
Accession Number
ADA423715

Entities

People

  • Andrew Gill

Organizations

  • Defence Science and Technology Group

Tags

Communities of Interest

  • Energy and Power Technologies
  • Weapons Technologies

DTIC Thesaurus Topics

  • Applied Mathematics
  • Army
  • Attrition
  • Australia
  • Battles
  • Defense Systems
  • Force Structure
  • Game Theory
  • Information Science
  • Land Warfare
  • Losses
  • Simulations
  • Systems Analysis
  • Systems Science
  • Universities
  • Warfare
  • Weapons

Readers

  • Military History / Militaries and War Studies
  • Regression Analysis.
  • Team-Based Human-Centered Cognitive Task Decision Making and Information Performance.